Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 59.426908 67.577797 75.963460 85.202091 95.062488 105.241267 116.512758
2025-07-06 45.208390 56.567741 68.861353 83.014829 98.727731 115.517376 134.696960
2025-07-13 39.802005 53.281716 68.383715 86.271611 106.617161 128.803296 154.599071
2025-07-20 35.047782 49.966725 67.215018 88.156857 112.465690 139.417052 171.197108
2025-07-27 30.084483 45.772083 64.492227 87.771450 115.313707 146.316125 183.335673
2025-08-03 25.789661 41.912166 61.762467 87.014666 117.421205 152.117963 194.011956
2025-08-10 22.752079 39.324116 60.317357 87.561902 120.864114 159.301591 206.139014
2025-08-17 19.648960 36.322923 58.095588 86.937174 122.726292 164.500572 215.857458
2025-08-24 17.298717 34.111854 56.698310 87.177809 125.505174 170.679753 226.639828
2025-08-31 14.810011 31.437093 54.488695 86.220420 126.681396 174.851123 234.983489
2025-09-07 13.350589 30.140528 54.023250 87.418273 130.459571 182.092966 246.923873
2025-09-14 12.140707 29.101650 53.823025 88.894332 134.537995 189.667820 259.245683
2025-09-21 10.353731 26.960956 51.973203 88.131685 135.778231 193.823420 267.552004
2025-09-28 8.420936 24.317576 49.223828 86.022659 135.198383 195.681394 273.050313
2025-10-05 8.047876 24.387798 50.450005 89.326663 141.593966 206.141134 288.954893
2025-10-12 7.385296 23.842850 50.702564 91.253597 146.182781 214.357664 302.145233
2025-10-19 6.285136 22.307868 49.344403 90.859828 147.683260 218.694817 310.589894
2025-10-26 5.240345 20.709122 47.777107 90.087741 148.623643 222.287962 318.094393
2025-11-02 4.556543 19.758060 47.174101 90.646097 151.299136 228.044517 328.245501
2025-11-09 3.755294 18.386000 45.792149 90.008657 152.324609 231.681639 335.763030
2025-11-16 3.182408 17.435415 45.044972 90.254194 154.509406 236.772764 345.069468
2025-11-23 2.520708 16.084862 43.520316 89.277268 154.983055 239.644711 351.597426
2025-11-30 2.203102 15.601777 43.474354 90.499550 158.456648 246.363260 362.922875